Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.1%
Birmingham
28.6%
Draw
38.3%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Birmingham
vs
1.33
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).