Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.0%
Greuther Furth
24.9%
Draw
53.1%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Greuther Furth
vs
1.77
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS55.0%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).