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04 May 2025 · 10:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.8%
Piast Gliwice
28.1%
Draw
30.1%
Radomiak Radom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.44

Piast Gliwice

vs
1.19

Radomiak Radom

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).