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AHT: 02

03 Sept 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.6%
Faversham Town
16.7%
Draw
12.7%
Broadbridge Heath

Expected Goals (xG)

2.40

Faversham Town

vs
0.91

Broadbridge Heath

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
8.4%
1-1
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
5.1%
4-1
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).