Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
St Pauli
32.1%
Draw
34.6%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
St Pauli
vs
1.04
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
12.0%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
0-3
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).