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AHT: 01CSV

17 Oct 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.6%
Ibiza
27.7%
Draw
38.7%
Mirandes

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Ibiza

vs
1.23

Mirandes

Markets

BTTS47.7%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).