Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Stoke
27.4%
Draw
26.1%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Stoke
vs
1.10
Leicester
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).