Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Augsburg
33.2%
Draw
31.7%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Augsburg
vs
0.94
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.2%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
13.4%
0-1
12.5%
2-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).