Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Akhmat Grozny
27.0%
Draw
41.8%
Dinamo Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Akhmat Grozny
vs
1.60
Dinamo Moskva
Markets
BTTS60.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).