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DHT: 01

19 Oct 2024 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.2%
Västerås SK
29.3%
Draw
49.5%
Malmö FF

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Västerås SK

vs
1.46

Malmö FF

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
12.8%
0-0
11.0%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).