Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.3%
Barcelona
8.4%
Draw
4.3%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
3.62
Barcelona
vs
0.80
Espanol
Markets
BTTS53.6%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.581.6%
Over 3.564.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.5%
4-0
8.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.3%
5-0
6.2%
5-1
5.0%
1-0
4.3%
1-1
3.6%
3-2
3.0%
4-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).