Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.1%
Kocaelispor
34.4%
Draw
48.5%
Fenerbahce
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Kocaelispor
vs
1.35
Fenerbahce
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.5%
1-1
15.4%
0-1
13.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
6.0%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).