Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.2%
Bradford
27.3%
Draw
34.5%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Bradford
vs
1.11
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).