Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.4%
Crawley Town
19.1%
Draw
36.5%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Crawley Town
vs
2.12
Man United
Markets
BTTS79.3%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.593.5%
Over 2.582.2%
Over 3.565.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
1-1
5.6%
3-2
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
2-3
5.0%
1-3
4.3%
3-3
3.9%
4-2
3.2%
2-0
3.2%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).