Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.5%
İstanbul Başakşehir
21.9%
Draw
10.5%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
0.88
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
4.9%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).