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23 Feb 2022 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
Ionikos
31.7%
Draw
15.9%
Apollon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.28

Ionikos

vs
0.58

Apollon

Markets

BTTS32.9%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.8%
0-0
16.7%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
0-2
2.6%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).