⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 01

04 Jan 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
30.9%
Norwich
25.9%
Draw
43.2%
Coventry

Expected Goals (xG)

1.34

Norwich

vs
1.62

Coventry

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).