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AHT: 11CSV

03 Oct 2020 · 13:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Chievo
32.6%
Draw
18.7%
Salernitana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Chievo

vs
0.66

Salernitana

Markets

BTTS35.3%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.4%
0-0
16.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-0
4.7%
1-2
4.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).