Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Morecambe
24.9%
Draw
46.3%
Sutton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Morecambe
vs
1.78
Sutton
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
4.0%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).