Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Toulouse
26.7%
Draw
18.3%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Toulouse
vs
0.68
Angers
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).