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AHT: 00CSV

09 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Ein Frankfurt
21.0%
Draw
40.6%
Hoffenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

Ein Frankfurt

vs
2.15

Hoffenheim

Markets

BTTS78.0%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.579.6%
Over 3.561.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-2
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-2
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
3-3
3.6%
0-2
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
2-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).