Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Garforth Town
19.1%
Draw
49.1%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Garforth Town
vs
2.38
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS77.2%
Over 0.598.8%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.580.2%
Over 3.562.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-1
6.0%
2-1
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-3
5.6%
3-2
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
3-3
3.6%
1-4
3.5%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).