Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Burgos
36.2%
Draw
25.0%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Burgos
vs
0.63
Leganes
Markets
BTTS27.0%
Over 0.577.7%
Over 1.544.0%
Over 2.519.0%
Over 3.56.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.3%
1-0
19.5%
0-1
14.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
3-0
2.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
0-3
0.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).