Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Hertha
26.1%
Draw
39.5%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Hertha
vs
1.54
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS60.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).