Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Getafe
33.9%
Draw
39.8%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Getafe
vs
0.98
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS33.1%
Over 0.581.9%
Over 1.551.7%
Over 2.525.0%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.1%
0-1
17.3%
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).