Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Burgos
28.8%
Draw
27.2%
Sp Gijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Burgos
vs
0.90
Sp Gijon
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.8%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).