Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.8%
Nurnberg
26.5%
Draw
27.7%
Holstein Kiel
Expected Goals (xG)
1.65
Nurnberg
vs
1.24
Holstein Kiel
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).