Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Trapani
31.2%
Draw
28.3%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Trapani
vs
0.99
Chievo
Markets
BTTS46.0%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.0%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).