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22 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Reading
30.0%
Draw
37.0%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Reading

vs
1.21

West Brom

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).