Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Almeria
23.1%
Draw
31.7%
Elche
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Almeria
vs
1.50
Elche
Markets
BTTS65.2%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
1-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).