Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Nice
20.1%
Draw
48.4%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Nice
vs
2.09
Marseille
Markets
BTTS70.5%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.551.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-3
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).