Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.1%
Roma
14.8%
Draw
6.1%
Monza
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Roma
vs
0.47
Monza
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.5%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
12.7%
2-1
7.8%
4-0
7.3%
1-1
6.6%
0-0
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
4-1
3.5%
5-0
3.4%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).