Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Bristol City
26.5%
Draw
44.0%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Bristol City
vs
1.58
Southampton
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).