Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Cagliari
23.4%
Draw
57.6%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Cagliari
vs
1.72
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).