Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Angers
29.1%
Draw
43.2%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Angers
vs
1.14
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.513.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).