Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Frosinone
24.8%
Draw
16.5%
Livorno
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Frosinone
vs
0.87
Livorno
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).