Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Barnet
26.2%
Draw
31.2%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Barnet
vs
1.34
York
Markets
BTTS60.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).