Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.6%
Udinese
24.3%
Draw
57.1%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Udinese
vs
1.62
Milan
Markets
BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.3%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).