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14 Aug 2021 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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80.4%
Stuttgart
13.0%
Draw
6.6%
Greuther Furth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.91

Stuttgart

vs
0.77

Greuther Furth

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.7%
3-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.6%
1-0
7.0%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
5.8%
5-0
4.4%
5-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).