Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Stoke
32.7%
Draw
22.8%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Stoke
vs
0.76
Oxford
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.558.6%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-0
15.6%
1-1
14.0%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).