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05 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.9%
Bristol City
28.7%
Draw
39.4%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Bristol City

vs
1.35

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS52.8%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).