Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Hamburg
28.4%
Draw
43.0%
RB Leipzig
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Hamburg
vs
1.41
RB Leipzig
Markets
BTTS51.6%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
0-1
10.4%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).