Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.0%
Värnamo
13.7%
Draw
78.4%
Hammarby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Värnamo
vs
3.05
Hammarby
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.556.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
8.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-4
6.6%
1-4
6.3%
1-1
5.9%
0-1
5.0%
0-5
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-5
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).