Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.5%
Ajaccio
12.6%
Draw
81.9%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
0.47
Ajaccio
vs
2.49
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
16.1%
0-3
13.3%
0-1
13.3%
0-4
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
1-3
6.3%
1-1
5.7%
0-0
4.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-4
3.9%
1-0
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).