Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.1%
Roma
9.9%
Draw
5.0%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
3.15
Roma
vs
0.68
Crotone
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.573.7%
Over 3.553.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.3%
2-0
10.7%
4-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
4.6%
5-1
3.8%
3-2
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).