Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Guingamp
21.7%
Draw
26.9%
Boulogne
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Guingamp
vs
1.20
Boulogne
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).