Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Gillingham
24.8%
Draw
48.9%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Gillingham
vs
1.52
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).