Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Arbroath
20.6%
Draw
18.8%
Dumbarton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Arbroath
vs
1.21
Dumbarton
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.567.5%
Over 3.545.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
1-0
6.4%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-1
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).