Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Alcorcon
33.5%
Draw
30.9%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Alcorcon
vs
0.82
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.551.3%
Over 2.524.9%
Over 3.59.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.7%
1-0
16.3%
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).