Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Shrewsbury
26.8%
Draw
36.9%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Shrewsbury
vs
1.19
Barrow
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).